Are Shares Nonetheless Forming a Prime?…
Conclusion
Tuesday’s shopping for and promoting session launched once more some pessimism as markets reacted to info of the Israel-Iran battle. Nonetheless, yesterday, the market traded principally sideways, and the S&P 500 extended its consolidation above its mid-July native extreme of spherical 5,670.
On Tuesday, I wrote “The essential factor question is whether or not or not the uptrend will proceed no matter overbought circumstances. Whereas no clear unfavorable indicators have appeared, the rally seems overstretched.” The question stays: is that this a topping pattern sooner than some additional vital downward correction or solely a consolidation sooner than one different leg up?
I opened a speculative fast place throughout the S&P 500 futures contract on September 16.
In my Stock Worth Forecast for October 2024, I wrote “the market extended its uptrend in September after rebounding from the early August low. No clear unfavorable indicators have surfaced; nonetheless, a correction could nonetheless occur. Historically, October is a seasonally weak month, significantly all through its first weeks. Will the stock market unload rapidly? Although monetary protection easing helps the bulls, uncertainty surrounding geopolitical risks and the upcoming presidential election ought to weaken sentiment.”
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