Westpac on the Australia greenback: "The alternate fee and the massive pivot"
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An prolonged notice from Luci Ellis, Chief Economist Westpac Group, Westpac.
In short:
- A depreciating alternate fee typically will get interpreted as a ‘vote of no confidence’ in that financial system or foreign money. In reality, it’s typically a needed and welcome shock absorber.
- future progress in export volumes is usually going to have to come back from someplace aside from the present high 4 exports.
- Australia goes to wish to pivot.
- The excellent news is that historical past exhibits that it may, and the behaviour of the alternate fee will assist it navigate that interval of change.
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Whereas the notice would not present a forecast for the AUD it reads to me like WPAC is anticipating the foreign money to be decrease for longer.
This text was written by Aaron Cutchburt at www.ubaidahsan.com.
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